Saturday, May 24, 2014

Analysis of French Open Draw For Djokovic,Nadal

Nadal defeated Djokovic win 2012,2013. Will it be the same in 2014?
Nadal defeated Djokovic win 2012,2013. Will it be the same in 2014?


SEED OPPONENTS
Nadal Ginepri, Thiem/Mathieu, Gabashvili, Almagro/Haas, Ferrer/Dimitrov, Wawrinka/Murray
Djokovic Sousa, Chardy, Cilic, Tsonga/Janowicz, Nishikori/Raonic, Federer/Berdych
Wawrinka Garcia-Lopez, Lu, F Lopez, Fognini/Monfils, Murray, Nadal/Ferrer
Federer Lacko, Qualifier, Tursunov, Gulbis/Youzhny, Berdych/Isner, Djokovic
Ferrer Sijsling, Qualifier, Seppi/Monaco, Dimitrov, Nadal, Wawrinka/Murray
Murray Golubev, Matosevic, Kohlschreiber/Istomin, Verdasco/Gasquet, Wawrinka, Nadal/Ferrer
Raonic Kyrgios, Vesely/Rosol, Simon, Nishikori/Dolgopolov, Djokovic, Federer/Berdych

Djokovic and Nadal are the favorites for 2014 edition of the French Open. Serena Williams draw the men's seeding for this year's French Opne #NoKidding. So was the draw kind to one over the other? Apparently yes, as it did no favors for the eight-time champion Rafeal Nadal.

Over the years, seeding and draws didn't matter at the French Open. It was always Nadal vs the rest and almost everyone would bet on Nadal over the rest. He's has dominated the tournament to the point where it might one day be called Rafa Nadal Open. But things have changed recently.

Clay court season isn't just about the French. It's a long and winding road consists of three Masters tournaments and few minor others. Over the course of his career, Nadal would routinely exhaust the rest of the ATP field at these tournaments and come to the French as the absolute favorite. But not this year. He hasn't found his trademark clay-court performance the tennis world is so used to seeing. He lost to Ferrer at Monte Carlo Masters, and Almagro at Barcelona.

So how do these defeats translate into the French Open? Are they even significant enough to take into consideration? Yes. Because Almagro and Ferrer are potential fourth round and quater-final opponents for the the Spaniard. Only saving grace for Nadal is the fact that he usually dominates inferior plays in the best of five format at Philippe Chatrier. However when he's level is subdued, Ferrer and Almagro aren't necessarily inferior.

In the semi-finals, Nadal'll have to face either Wawrinka or Murray. Wawrinka vs. Nadal is the match to be seen as everyone's hoping for an Australian Open final rematch. What separates Murray from Stan? Stan has Monte Carlo while Murray is yet to reach a clay court final. However Stan has been up and down this year, but his run in Monte Carlo should be the source for inspiration for him to get back in peak form. Depending on Wawrinka's consistency leading up to the semifinals, I wouldn't be surprised if he knocks off the eight-time champion.

And there's Djokovic. He is the favorite for the French in many |(sane) people's eyes following his defeat of Nadal in Rome. And that status shall so remain after the draw. Many put emphasis on a potential match against Chardy, who defeated Federer in Rome. The Frenchman could challenge Djokovic but his lack of clay-court experience will allow Djoker to escape, given such scenario even arises. Third round opponent Cilic could also be another to take a set off of Djoker, but once again, he doesn't have the clay-court game to score a win. Quater-final match against the likely opponents of either Nishikori or Raonic should the most interesting prior to the semi-finals. Should Nishikori and Raonic meet each other to determine the opponent for Djokovic, I think it'll be the Japanese superstar who'll prevail against the Canadian, though Raonic did well to push Novak in Rome. Nishikori, in what should've really been his Madrid title, showcased his improved all-around game, and I think that will allow him to get better of Raonic.

Can Nishikori beat Djokovic? Yes. Do I see that happening at the French Open? No. In the event of an evenly matched tennis from these two, it's once again the stellar grand slam experience of Djokvic that'll push him to the victory.

Roger Federer is the likest opponent for Djokovic in the semi-final. Fed has an easy road all the way until that stage, barring some challengers who might push him to as far as four sets, but Fed should still have what's necessary to score W. In 2011 Federer "upset" Djokovic, ending Djoker's undefeated season of victories that saw him beat Nadal consecutively on clay. Betting odds this year for a rematch would be similar to what was prior to their clash of 2011, but will there be another upset? Will it be another Nadal vs Federer final? Likely not, since Fed hasn't shown similar consistency in the following two years. He was defeated by Djokovic very next year at the same stage of the tournament, and last year, he exited early to Tsonga. Fed is playing better tennis this season compared to last year, but his level hasn't improved to that of 2011, or 2007. So it's Djokovic who clearly has the upper-hand in a Fed vs Djokovic semi-final.

Nadal and Djokovic always have to deal with each other regardless of the surface or the tournament, but it's Djokovic who's been getting the better of Nadal recently, as it was the case in Rome Masters a week ago. Usually for Nadal it doesn't matter who's on the other side of the net on the final day at the French. But this year it matters a great deal. He's such a great champion that I don't believe he wants an easy way to title. That is, in his heart of hearts, he wants to defeat Djokovic one more time to clinch his ninth Musketeer's cup. But I believe if it's another Nadal/Djokovic match-up once again, it would be the Serb who'll prevail this time.

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